most overrated running backs of all time

Daniel Jones was one of the most uninspiring quarterbacks in the league last year. Barry Sanders is easily the best ever. Robinsons workload will dramatically decrease this season, and drafters arent taking that into account as much as they should. 1 status. Jeff Haseley: The Dolphins have a three-headed approach to the running back position this year. But you do have to attribute some of his success to his top 10 run blocking. Andy Hicks: The Broncos dont seem overly excited to use Melvin Gordon III this year. The depth behind Ekeler is average, but there are enough players to steal touches. There's too much risk to draft him as an ever-week starter. James Brimacombe: Johnson has been a fantasy hero for us in the past, but now entering Year 7, his best days are behind him. David Johnson, Houston | Consensus Rankings RB27 | Consensus Projections RB31. Jeff Haseley: We know what Saquon Barkley is capable of, but we haven't seen him perform much in Jason Garrett's offense under Joe Judge's rule. . We've seen J.D. And while Johnson sits atop the Houston depth chart, Phillip Lindsay, Mark Ingram II, and perhaps Rex Burkhead will factor in as well. McKissic, one the league's better pass-catching backs. David Johnson, Houston | Consensus Rankings RB39 | Consensus Projections RB47. . At cost, D'Andre Swift and others are better combinations of floor and ceiling. There is no other way to explain a mid-range RB3 price when he is in one of the worst possible situations in Houston. Chad Parsons: As much as Taylor is an overt talent and a potentially elite RB1 in a best-case scenario. Gaskin may be the top option for now, but that could change with a strong outing from veteran Malcolm Brown or Salvon Ahmed. Kudos to James Robinson. Now, these guys are treated with all the respect of disposable diapers. NFL career: 1988-91, all with Cincinnati Bengals (4 seasons) Statistics/16 games: 659.5 rush yards/4.6 yards per . I just see way too much downside to take a risk on lightning striking twice. 15 Best Running Backs of All-Time; Etienne's selection early in the late first signals he should have an immediate opportunity, especially with a new coaching staff in place. Jason Wood: Williams has the talent to be a top-10 fantasy back for years. Combine a true committee situation with a quarterback who racks up 1,000 yards and a handful of scores, and you have a ceiling on Dobbins that won't be unlocked without a rash of injuries. Andy Hicks: When looking at the Falcons backfield, it is clear there is no one currently there to challenge Mike Davis to start the season. WHO ARE THE MOST OVERRATED FANTASY FOOTBALL RUNNING BACKS? Andy Hicks: Austin Ekeler isnt going to rush anyone to a fantasy title. There is no upside with drafting Gaskin this high. Gaskin is a nice player, but the signings by this staff the last two offseasons say they don't have confidence that Gaskin is their guy. Here are some stats from footballoutsiders.com: * Note: ADY = adjusted line yards, PSR = power success rank, SR = stuff ranking Average ADY: 4.29 Average PSR: 11th Average SR: 9th * These stats werent kept until 1996, so this doesnt include Bettis first 3 years in the NFL. This NFL season, which isn't even over yet, 5 running backs have already rushed for more yards and 16 have more touchdowns. The Steelers were 23rd in red zone attempts per game in 2020 and were recently ranked as having the fourth-worst offensive line ahead of the 2021 season by Pro Football Focus. Jordan McNamara: Like Gaskin, David Johnson is in a cloudy situation after Philip Lindsay drew the starting role in Houston in week 1. That's right, Fournette was cut by the Jaguars, and I think the same could happen with Gordon entering this season. Subscription, Early-March Top 10 Defensive Back IDP Rankings, 5 RBs to Buy In Dynasty Before NFL Free Agency. Barry Sanders 3. There are backs going after Chubb who will receive bigger shares of their teams usage. These players will not put up stats commensurate to their draft spot, and avoiding them is another of the important keys to a successful fantasy team. He has lapses in vision and decision-making. Barring an injury to Chubb, Hunt will drive you crazy trying to figure out when to start him as anything other than a flex option. Matt Waldman: After studying Swift's best weeks in 2020, the Lions' offseason acquisitions, and Coach Lynn's analysis of his backs, I'm less enthusiastic about Swift. Brown has more power and better acceleration and change-of-direction quickness than Gaskin, who is the better receiver. The final reason why Jerome Bettis is the most overrated RB of all time is because of the offensive line he ran behind. Dillon a lot, and reports from OTAs have been promising. History and time have helped make Perry one of the most overrated defensive players of all time. only site on the planet. But Gordon averaged more yards per carry last year than Williams. Ryan Hester: Chubb shares his backfield with a very talented player in Kareem Hunt, and Hunt is the one who gets the lions share of the passing game work. Anthony Amico: Dobbins is being drafted as if he has a far greater stranglehold on this Ravens backfield than he likely will. Optimizer Quick Start, Percent Rostered James Brimacombe: I view Melvin Gordon III this season a lot like I viewed Leonard Fournette in Jacksonville last offseason. 25 Running Backs Overrated Players 10 Quarterbacks 12 Tight Ends 23 Wide Receivers 25 Running Backs Deep Sleepers 9 Quarterbacks 11 Tight Ends 15 Wide Receivers 13 Running Backs The flip side of succeeding with value players is failing with overvalued players. What follows are some of the most notable BackCAST projections for the running back prospects available in the 2022 NFL draft, along with two overrated back based on this model: ESPN + Fred Taylor 3) Micah Richards. Thurman Thomas 14. This should be a fair competition, considering that Miami is changing its scheme this year. Chad Parsons: Cohen is coming off an injury, and Damien Williams is a notable veteran addition to the depth chart. He and Ameer Abdullah -- who played over Kenyan Drake in the first preseason game -- could take away tons of receiving work, while White is capable of obtaining shots around the goal line. His average DVOA of 0.085% would rank him 31st in the NFL in 2009, right behind Rashard Mendenhall. He feasted on unsustainable opportunities and a soft schedule. Andrew Davenport: I've had ample opportunities to draft Gaskin and just haven't been able to do it. Gibson has also been struggling with fumbles in training camp, which have drawn the ire of the Commanders coaching staff. Crimson Tide skill players have been pretty good coming into the NFL recently, and Robinson's early start to camp has been generating buzz. Awesemo fantasy expert Nick Lepri gives you the three MOST OVERRATED RBs, breaks down his running .. In 2019, his last full season, Cohen averaged 5.8 yards per catch and 4.4 yards per target -- terrible numbers for a third-down back. Josh Jacobs, Las Vegas | Consensus Rankings RB19 | Consensus Projections RB19. And ultimately, he was targeted by Miami ahead of an early-round draft pick when he finally hit unrestricted free agency. Here are some stats from footballoutsiders.com: * Note: ADY =. Even when Barkley was a big fantasy hit, it took big plays that can be very mercurial from year to year to make it happen. Gibsons problems with fumbles have been a complaint of Ron Rivera, and he has already shown it is not gone in the preseason. David Montgomery looked the part of a workhorse profile after Cohen left the lineup, and Khalil Herbert is a rookie to watch for upward mobility on the depth chart. As everyone knows by now, Montgomery faced some of the worst run defenses in the league over that finishing stretch to put up those huge numbers. Whenever a new coaching group comes in, especially an inexperienced one, there is always the risk that players with a high fantasy price underachieve. He has the ability to handle that role and thrive in the process. Matt Waldman: Gaskin displayed underrated skills last year and has become a favorite sleeper in the fantasy community. Jordan McNamara: Fixing your running game by drafting running backs is a losing strategy. Lynn's mauling offensive line and run-first mentality give Swift a chance to make good on his ADP, but he is being drafted at his ceiling. Miles Sanders, Philadelphia | Consensus Rankings RB21 | Consensus Projections RB21. NFL's 5 Most Overrated Running Backs No Name August 6, 2011 Over the past decade, the NFL has really evolved into a passing league. His knee injury involved multiple ligament tears, and the Giants are likely to bring him along slowly. Quarterback Lamar Jackson will always cap Dobbins' upside in total carries and goal-line looks. This is a major factor to any expectation that Robinson is fantasy lineup-relevant without an injury to one of the other options, especially beyond the very early weeks in the season. From Weeks 13 through 17, Dobbins received a measly two total targets from quarterback Lamar Jackson. I would probably rank him around 43. DYAR: 96 DVOA: 0.085% His average DYAR of 96 would rank him 24th in the NFL in 2009, right ahead of Laurence Maroney. LaDainian Tomlinson 6. Jamal Lewis rushed for nearly 3,400 yards in the first two seasons back from his ACL tear. It also must be remembered his journey through the NFL before that. Barkley could hit on pure talent and above-average recuperative ability, but everything else is going against him to return value on his lofty ADP. Pat Fitzmaurice: First, a hat tip: For a guy who was a nonfactor in Purdue's offense for four years and was mostly a special-teamer in his first four NFL seasons, Mostert turned out to be a pretty good running back. 5 / 30. Unfortunately, Dobbins is on a team with an elite rushing quarterback in Lamar Jackson, who will always cap Dobbins' upside in total carries and goal-line looks. He yields passing work to J.D. Jalen Hurts will inevitably take away carries and goal-line rushes from the backfield, capping any true remaining upside Sanders may have been clinging to. Gaskin was a revelation versus his cost a year ago but is a buyer beware in 2021. Footballguys staff members discuss running backs who are overvalued. You are better off investing in a more consistent player for your RB2 when you get to the late second or early third round of drafts. We use cookies to personalize content, ads and analyze site traffic. The new coaching staff is inexperienced (second-youngest in the NFL), the system is unproven, the quarterback is going to gobble up a ton of rushing yards and touchdowns, and the front office has added running back depth aggressively in the offseason. J.K. Dobbins, Baltimore | Consensus Rankings RB16 | Consensus Projections RB17. Cam Akers, LA Rams | Consensus Rankings RB12 | Consensus Projections RB13. Terrell Davis, Edgerrin James, Reggie Bush, Rashard Mendenhall, Jamaal Charles, and recently, Dalvin Cook all took over a season of play to return to form if they did at all. The Commanders made it a priority of theirs to bring back J.D. Drew Davenport: The memories of Johnson dominating in Arizona are still following him into this offseason. David Johnson 's fantasy fortunes have been a roller coaster ride over the past three seasons. Given Russell Wilson's historical propensity to score rushing touchdowns in goal-line situations, it's hard to get overly excited about Williams, particularly in PPR formats. Top 10 Most Overrated Athletes of All Time It's not that they aren't great players, they just aren't everything we've been led to believe. Had more rushing touchdowns last year than Williams. The Steelers were 23rd in red zone attempts per game in 2020 and were ranked as having the fourth-worst offensive line ahead of the 2021 season by Pro Football Focus. Additionally, Brandon Bolden -- a member of Josh McDaniels' Patriot teams -- is with the club. Kareem Hunt, Cleveland | Consensus Rankings RB21 | Consensus Projections RB22. Jonathan Morris: Gibson was already someone I was worried about getting enough volume to be drafted at his current ADP. Andrew Davenport: Montgomery was the 26th-ranked PPR running back in points per game at 12.2 a contest through nine games last year. Henry is one of my favorite players in the league, but there are preferable first-round picks for me in 2021. Gaskin is an easy fade at his current price. Whenever a new coaching group comes in, especially an inexperienced one, there is always the risk that players with a high fantasy price underachieve. Swift has already broken the injury seal with a groin issue in camp, and Jamaal Williams has already been spoken of highly as a potential 1A to Swift's No. Gibson is more likely to lose his job than return a significant profit on his draft price. Phil Alexander: Hunt finished last season as the RB10 in PPR scoring, but his cumulative stats were buoyed by a four-game stint as Cleveland's starter when Nick Chubb was out with an MCL sprain. Ben Cummins: I dont want much to do with the Texans at all this season. That number of targets limited his ceiling, and he was barely a low-end RB2. Weve seen flashes of Raheem Mostert over the last couple of years feasting in this offense, but its sporadic and challenging to predict. McDaniels is someone who deploys multiple backs throughout the course of the game. If you're optimistic about the Lions running game, take Williams at a deep discount from Swift's highly aspirational price tag. There are some people who will say he was the most overrated running back in history because he was 1-5 in the playoffs, and he never won a Super . Derrick Henry, Tennessee | Consensus Rankings RB4 | Consensus Projections RB4. This year, his new head coach -- Josh McDaniels -- is an offensive mind who made his career in schemes that utilized multiple backs as specialists for each situation. Downing, USA Today Sports. John Riggins 19. Myles Gaskin, Miami | Consensus Rankings RB25 | Consensus Projections RB26. Najee Harris, Pittsburgh | Consensus Rankings RB17 | Consensus Projections RB15. Projections, Get The Most Out Of Your The Ravens view Gus Edwards and Dobbins as co-starters who are both vital cogs, and the front office rewarded Edwards with a new contract supporting his role. Najee Harris, Pittsburgh | Consensus Rankings RB15 | Consensus Projections RB13. Ty Johnson has strong athleticism and played over Carter in the first week of the preseason, and La'Mical Perine has a similar profile to Carter. He rewarded those believers with an RB18 PPG season. Jason Wood: Sanders is talented, and when healthy, was productive under former head coach Doug Pederson. Subscription, Early-March Top 10 Defensive Back IDP Rankings, 5 RBs to Buy In Dynasty Before NFL Free Agency. It seems the case that he is being drafted well above his upside. While Jacobs is capable of a bell-cow role, McDaniels has a long history of maddening running back usage as the Patriots OC. Ben Cummins: Robinson was an awesome story in 2020 as he just kept producing while seeing 21.43 opportunities per game (6th most in the league) from Weeks 1-16. Though volume is important in fantasy football, Harris could struggle behind his offensive line and not garner an elite share of red zone touches. Search my work, about me, and maybe -if I ever get around to it - my blog. The more problematic issue is that the Texans are a train wreck. That, plus the uncertainty of Edmond's role, leaves me more concerned than excited. The Eagles consistently added to the depth chart this offseason with Kerryon Johnson, Jordan Howard, Kenneth Gainwell added to Boston Scott. When I was comparing Bettis stats to the the 3 RBs I mentioned above, I saw that Bettis was highly overrated. Pat Fitzmaurice: The Buccaneers' playoff run was the best four-game stretch for Fournette since the early part of the 2019 season. The Brazilian won the Ballon d'Or in 2005 and has been inducted into the Milan hall of fame for his impact between 2008 and 2011 before heading back to his homeland. Gary Davenport: Drafting an RB1 based on wishful thinking isn't an ideal strategy, yet Williams keeps getting picked inside the top-12 at his position. It's not entirely his fault. Also, Jalen Hurts is poised to siphon a few short-range scores from the running back position. Bettis was also a nonfactor in the passing game. Worst of all, he is now playing on the Houston Texans, who have no identity on offense heading into the season. His primary use has been as an excellent pass-catching back. The addition of James Conner, plus the knowledge that Kyler Murray could steal goal-line carries, also adds a bit of skepticism. I have seen Bettis crack the top 20 and even top 10 of some lists, and this is inexplicable. He also has a new coaching staff, a new play-caller, and a new system to learn. Andy Hicks: Austin Ekeler isnt going to rush anyone to a fantasy title. Jeff Bell: Gibson finished fourth in rushing attempts. As everyone knows by now, Montgomery faced some of the worst run defenses in the league to put up those huge numbers over that finishing stretch. Ryan Hester: If Aaron Rodgers leaves Green Bay, no Green Bay players will see their output exceed their price tag. The Five Most Overrated Fantasy Football Running Backs in 2019. This slideshow lists the most underrated and overrated quarterbacks, running backs and receivers in the NFL, and the choices might shock you. Henry is all but guaranteed to regress after rushing for over 2,000 yards last season, and he doesnt catch enough passes. There's zero appeal here. Color me skeptical Sanders has a new ceiling for receiving production with Scott and Gainwell passing game-centric options, and Howard could be a goal-line option. Jacobs is not the alpha; he's one of many in the Vegas backfield. There are plenty of clarified RB1 types later in the draft to avoid taking the variable shot on Williams. Matt Waldman: Many of my peers at Footballguys are worshippers of draft capital as a predictor of talent. These are players that will not put up stats commensurate to their draft spot, and avoiding them is another of the important keys to a successful fantasy team. First, Johnson turns 30 in December, and considering all the injuries he's dealt with in his NFL career, it's hard to see him aging well. Ryan Hester: This isnt a knock on Harris, whose athletic profile and projected workload are things fantasy players dream of. Malcolm Brown is one of the least-sexy names in fantasy football, but NFL teams sure seem to love him. Jason Wood: Ekeler can single-handedly carry a fantasy team for a week or two. At present, I'm avoiding Gaskin because I do not trust the role, especially ahead of projected starters like Mike Davis and other players with higher upside like Travis Etienne. Deion Sanders tops the list of overrated cornerbacks. But regardless of quarterback, Kamara is unlikely to return to his 80 reception ways. This likely puts Gibson two injuries away from a full workload, and Robinson is capable of taking away money touches in the redzone as well. most overrated running backs of all time. However, with Smith out of town, gunslinger Ryan Fitzpatrick now under center, and sophomore running back Antonio Gibson expected to step up, McKissic isnt someone that will have much value in most fantasy leagues. Melvin Gordon III, Denver | Consensus Rankings RB29 | Consensus Projections RB28. Heading into this season, their offensive line is mediocre, their quarterback situation is a mess, they have a new coach, and the rest of the skill position players are uninspiring. Jason Wood: Preseason depth charts aren't perfectly predictive, but the new Texans coaching staff clearly sent a message listing Johnson as the No. Unless his ADP falls a bit, he's a pass where he's being drafted right now. Jamaal Williams is a fine receiver, route runner, and red-zone back who will limit Swift's upside to a low-end fantasy RB2, at best. He's a strong talent with some flaws with a better all-around back ahead of him. I definitely do not want the most expensive option here (Carter), but Coleman and Johnson are arbitrage plays. And the Titans got worse this offseason, losing wide receiver Corey Davis, tight end Jonnu Smith, cornerback Adoree' Jackson, and defensive end Jadeveon Clowney. The Raiders are sure to recoup as much production as they can on the $8.5 million guarantee they gave Drake on a two-year deal, so this will look closer to a committee than a true lead-back situation. Dave Kluge: Sure, youre not giving up any crazy draft capital to get J.D. Travis Etienne, Jacksonville | Consensus Rankings RB26 | Consensus Projections RB26. But after he sat a game due to injury, the Bears' lead runner came out hot after their bye, and he finished at a torrid pace of 25.7 points per game as the overall RB1 from Weeks 12 to 17. Jamal Lewis-- RB, 2000-06 There have been seven running backs who have rushed for 2,000 yards in a season, and Jamal Lewis is by far the least memorable of the bunch. 9 out of the 13 years Bettis played in the NFL he averaged less than 4 yards per carry. With the second-year back getting selected in the early second round of most drafts, fantasy managers must be expecting that trend to continue in 2021. Gordon isn't going away just because fantasy managers want him to. As a rookie, Montgomery was a disappointment, averaging just 10.7 fantasy points per game. It's possible that Las Vegas will lean on Jacobs, knowing he won't be back next year, but that goes against McDaniels' past style of play. Earl Campbell 9. McKissic returns from injury to his role as the pass-catching back, and Washington also drafted Brian Robinson Jr in the third round. He's not a player to build your team around if you pick in the top half of the first round. Some running backs, such as Chris Johnson this year, are a full 2.0 YPC over their offensive lines ADY. His value is trending in the wrong direction. When you select Dobbins in your drafts, you are banking on the hyper-efficiency of his limited touches to continue. Never a good idea. While 3,000 hits is nothing to scoff at, his place as an. Gordon was adequate last year, but that was almost purely on volume. Chase Edmonds, Arizona | Consensus Rankings RB25 | Consensus Projections RB23. I am a heretic in that regard. Gaskin has an RB2 ceiling, but an RB3 value is a much stronger likelihood than many realize, whether it's Brown or a summer free-agent acquisition like Todd Gurley, Adrian Peterson, or a recent starter a team lets go to make room for an emerging force. Footballguys staff members discuss running backs who are overvalued. Before his 2020 campaign, McKissic had never rushed for more than 205 yards in a season. Ten different running backs had more targets alone than the entire Ravens backfield in 2020. Dillon is maturing as a receiver and might be used in that facet of the game despite his size profile suggesting hes a bruiser. James Robinson, Jacksonville | Consensus Rankings RB28 | Consensus Projections RB29. At 5-foot-6 and 191 pounds, Cohen is too small and one-dimensional to be used as a lead back even if David Montgomery gets hurt. Aaron Jones, Green Bay | Consensus Rankings RB7 | Consensus Projections RB6. There have been 49 running backs taken among the first 10 picks since 1960, and Byars has the lowest rushing average of the bunch. And just how many touchdowns should we expect from an offense with glaring question marks at quarterback and the worst wide receiver depth chart this side of Detroit?

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